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WARC: Marketers should expect the unexpected in 2026

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mkeys@thedesk.net

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Key Points

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  • AI and the growing influence of independent creators are cited among the key disruptive elements in marketing heading into 2026.
  • WARC said ongoing tariffs and economic instability are adding to the issue.
  • Understanding shifts in consumer demographics can give some marketers and brands an edge.

Artificial intelligence and the growing influence of independent creators will continue to disrupt advertising creative and marketing budgets through next year, according to a new report issued by WARC on Tuesday.

The report, encapsulated in WARC’s “Marketer’s Toolkit” for 2026, analyzed government, economic, societal and technological factors to offer insights into the disrupting forces in the advertising and marketing sector in the short-term.

The two cited elements were among five core disruptors listed in the report — and they shouldn’t come as a surprise to anyone, given that the rise in AI and the influencer economy have already impacted ad budgets and creative strategies in recent years.

That will only continue into and through 2026, WARC warned, while the impact of global trade wars and tariffs add to the complexity.

“Going into 2026, the only certainty is that there will be uncertainty,” said Aditya Kishore, Insight Director at WARC. “Unpredictable tariffs, geopolitical threats and economic instability are impacting consumer spending, lifestyles and ambitions. Marketer optimism is down 11 points from last year, but understanding consumer shifts and adapting quickly could create new opportunities for brands in 2026.”

The report released on Tuesday is based on survey responses from more than 1,000 senior marketing executives around the world. It also includes the findings of one-on-one interviews and analysis from WARC’s in-house research team.

The analysis was a stark departure from a similar report WARC issued around this time last year, which found most marketers were optimistic about the state of the market and expected their ad budgets to improve through 2025 — though most professionals also said that the increase in ad budgets was going to depend on the state of the global economy.

Among the most significant trends highlighted in the report is what WARC calls “the vanishing middle,” as marketers increasingly abandon the traditional middle market that once delivered both scale and margin. Seventy-three percent of those surveyed said the term “middle class” has lost meaning, citing growing disparities in wealth and spending habits. Brands are being urged to help consumers manage “affordability tension” while building emotional loyalty in strained categories.

The report also warns of growing instability in creator marketing. While 61 percent of marketers plan to increase spending on influencers in 2026, WARC says nearly half of creator ad budgets on Meta platforms are wasted due to weak creative execution. The company suggests advertisers align campaign goals and improve collaboration with creators to ensure measurable results.

Another emerging dynamic, which WARC calls “the great escape,” reflects growing consumer demand for emotionally uplifting and immersive brand experiences in an age of burnout and “polycrisis.” McCann Worldgroup projects the global “Escape Economy” will reach $13.9 trillion by 2028.

Artificial intelligence is expected to accelerate what WARC calls “zero-click journeys,” where discovery and purchasing are increasingly handled by AI-powered systems. Most marketers surveyed are preparing for this transition, with many shifting investment from search engine optimization to “generative engine optimization.”

Shifting demographics are also reshaping traditional consumer milestones. Nearly 60 percent of marketers said segmenting audiences by age, income or family structure is no longer effective, as more people forgo marriage or children and rethink retirement.

WARC advises brands to adapt category entry points and spending triggers to reflect new life stages. Kishore said the 2026 report is intended to give marketers “clarity in chaos” as they navigate rapid cultural and technological change.

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About the Author:

Matthew Keys

Matthew Keys is the award-winning founder and editor of TheDesk.net, an authoritative voice on broadcast and streaming TV, media and tech. With over ten years of experience, he's a recognized expert in broadcast, streaming, and digital media, with work featured in publications such as StreamTV Insider and Digital Content Next, and past roles at Thomson Reuters and Disney-ABC Television Group.
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